Our rating is based on a combination of project pipeline, political and policy support, investor confidence and structural readiness of the country in terms of grid infrastructure, permitting process and local supply chain.
Estimate of installed and operating wind power capacity based on the latest statisitics and measured against the Windpower Intelligence database.
Institutional support for the expansion of wind power received a deadly blow in October 2019 when overwhelming opposition to the development plans outlined in a draft national framework forced the government to drop it.
The draft framework under consultation since April 2019 identified 13 areas best suited to wind-power development. It attracted a large amount of local opposition, including nationwide protests, over environmental and tourism concerns.
Out of 56 municipalities that were consulted, 49 opposed the plans. The government intends to introduce a more stringent licensing process with tighter deadlines and the involvement of municipalities in future projects.
Norway stopped new approvals for wind projects at the start of the consultation in April. Wind projects that are finalised before the end of 2021 are eligible to receive support for 15 years under a green certificate programme that Norway operates jointly with Sweden. Beyond that date, any new projects that gain approval will need to operate on a subsidy-free basis.
Despite this, WindEurope expects Norway to be one of the more active markets in Europe over the next five years thanks to planned improvements to interconnectors with other Nordic countries.