Forum Day 1: Tuesday 19 April 2016
08:30

Registration And Morning Refreshments

09:00

Chair's Opening Remarks 

Line Storelvmo Holmberg, Plant Siting And Forecasting Director, Vestas

PROJECT AND TECHNOLOGY BANKABILITY

09:15

Keynote: Understanding The Investment Landscape For More Informed Decisions On Your Project 

  • What do investors consider as key requirements for a risk-managed project? 
  • Alternative sources of debt which banks/financial investors are willing to take, in order to identify future threats to the financing of projects
  • Let’s get this right: production estimates – P50 and P90
  • Turbine sector specific production loss estimates
Baiju Devani , Investment Manager, Ingenious Clean Energy 
09:45

Floating Met Mast And LIDAR Technology Developments

  • Met Mast and LIDAR uncertainties in a floating foundation
  • Case study of a floating Met Mast
  • Comparison of theoretical and actual results
  • Validation and lessons learned

Antonios Peppas, Director, Floatmast 

10:15

PANEL DISCUSSION

Project Finance: What Do Banks And Investors Need To Know And How Can This Reduce Uncertainties?

  • Determining production value for accurate financial and investment decisions 
  • Collecting enough solid data to boost chance of investment 
  • How can we balance uncertainty and project feasibility? 

Participants include:

Tomas Blodau, Head Of Department - Wind And Site, Senvion
Suresh Pillai, Vice President And Global Head – Wind And Site, Suzlon

Baiju Devani , Investment Manager,  Ingenious Clean Energy 

11:00

Networking Break And Morning Refreshments 

11.30

HIGH FREQUENCY TALKS 

What Are The Pros And Cons Of Developing A Standardized Method To Interpret Results?

Method standardization can help investors to make more informed decisions and reduce risks when determining whether a project is bankable or not. Hence, working towards meeting standardization criteria can become a powerful tool in resource assessment and development of wind farms. However, some believe that each project is different, each company has a different threshold for risk, each company has different investors (and not all investors are equal!) and finally each project has different reasons for using novel technology.

Each delegate will be given the chance to express their thoughts, concerns, ideas and solutions anonymously and in written form (5 minutes). The moderator will then read out loud the audience’s suggestions on how to make the industry progress on these issues. The debate will then be opened up to the rest of the room making this the perfect occasion to overcome the barriers to establishing concrete and realistic measurement standardization practices. 

12:15

Networking Lunch

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS AND MODELLING

13:15 

Verification Of Wake Turbulence And Modelling For Long-Term Measurement Accuracy

  • Nacelle-based onshore and ground-based offshore LiDAR measurements data
  • Volumetric scan pattern based on standard measurement methods
  • Wind field propagation and wake tracking application
  • Method validation based on LES simulation 

Hauke Beck, Research Assistant, ForWind - University of Oldenburg

13:45 

Wind Fields Calibration Using Time Series: A New Approach For Avoiding Bins And Distributions

  • Impact of wind direction binning and distribution fitting when performing calibration studies
  • New calibration methodology: 3D Remodeling 
  • Validation cases and comparison against other methodologies
  • Discussion and Future Work
Pau Casso, Technical Director, Vortex 
14:15

Towards Best Practice Guidelines For Reducing Numerical Errors When Using Microscale CFD Models 

  • User-dependent uncertainties
  • Objective approaches for domain's size selection
  • Grid-spacing selection based on sensitivity analysis and order or convergence of the CFD model
  • Impact of wind direction binning. A computational cost-effective approach

Roberto Aurelio Chavez Arroyo, Researcher, CENER

14:45

How To L ower Wind Resource Uncertainty. The Latest Results And Case Studies On:

  • Bankable wind data offshore
  • Power curve validation
  • Wake losses and wind farm shadow

Dr Jan Willem Wagenaar, Senior Measurement Specialist, ECN

15:15

Networking Break And Afternoon Refreshments 

15:45

Evaluating The Wind Resource From Rotor Equivalent Wind Speeds

  • Sensitivity of rotor equivalent wind speed (REWS) to surface stability conditions
  • REWS and terrain effects
  • Impact on P50

Christiane Montavon, Lead Technical Services Engineer, Ansys 

16:15

Utility's Case Study: Weather And Power Forecasting Challenges 

  • Description of the model chain developed within RWE for operational weather and power forecasting
  • Application of the model chain on existing RWE wind farm

Marilia Giannakopoulou, Meteorologist, RWE

ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSIONS

16:45 Delegates will select one of the following peer-to-peer discussions from the strategic or technical streams listed below. You will move into small breakout groups where discussions will be off the record and led by an expert on the given topic. Delegates are encouraged to bring along their considered ideas and questions in order to facilitate a meaningful and in-depth discussion. 

STREAM 1: STRATEGIC

1. IEC Standards: how to quantify uncertainties through a more restricted and standardized approach

Hugo Herrmann, Offshore Wind Resource Engineer, EDF Energy

2. Challenges of measurements in non-European countries

Roy Spence, Technical Leader, SgurrEnergy 


STREAM 2: TECHNICAL

3. Improving mesoscale modelling and validation methods

Marilia Giannakopoulou,
Meteorologist, RWE

4. How can we achieve layout optimisation? 

Simon Watson,  Professor,  Loughbourough University

5. Predicted estimates compared to actual production from wind farms – how well can we do?

Andrea Eugster,  Wind Analyst,  Statoil

17:45 

Roundtable Feedback

Delegates will hear the discussion leaders sharing the main outcomes of their discussions.

18:00

Chair's Closing Remarks

18:15

End of Day One

19:30

Dinner at Del’Aziz Restaurant